My Still Ridiculously Early November 2012 Oscar Nomination Predictions

It’s November and the Awards season is in full swing. I have a seen a bunch of the big contenders this year and many of them are living up to their promise (Argo, Lincoln). However, some are on shaky ground (can we talk about the atrocious mess that is The Master? It’s a very divisive film, but I think it’s in big trouble. At least the performances are still good bets for nods.) So, just how does this shake up my take on who will and won’t get nominated this year? Take a look at my new list below and compare it to my October predix here…. And tune in next month for another updated list.

My Ridiculously Early 2012 November Oscar Nomination Predictions~

(Note, they are listed in order of most likely to be nominated, and I’ve noted where they have climbed, fallen and debuted on the list.)

1. Argo (+ 2)
2. Les Miserables (-1)
3. Lincoln (+ 1)
4. The Silver Linings Playbook (-2)
5. Zero Dark Thirty (-)
6. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (-)
7. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (+1)
8. The Impossible (new)
9. The Life of Pi (new)
10. The Perks of Being a Wallflower (-1)
Next in line: Django Unchained, The Master, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Flight

1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (+1)
2. John Hawkes, The Sessions (-1)
3. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables (-)
4. Denzel Washington (new)
5. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master (-) * he is on real shaky ground as he publicly derides the Awards season and is generally a jerk.
Next in line: Richard Gere (Arbitrage), Bradley Cooper (The Silver Linings Playbook), Tommy Lee Jones (Hope Springs), Anthony Hopkins (Hitchcock)

1. Jennifer Lawrence, The Silver Linings Playbook (-)
2. Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone (+ 1)
3. Naomi Watts, The Impossible (- 1)
4. Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina (+ 1)
5. Quevanzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild (- 1)
Next in line: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), Meryl Streep (Hope Springs), Emmanuel Riva (Amour)

1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln (new)
2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master (- 1)
3. Russell Crowe, Les Miserables (-1)
4. Ewan MacGregor, The Impossible (+ 1)
5. Robert DeNiro, The Silver Linings Playbook (- 1)
Next in Line: Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained), Alan Arkin (Argo), Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables), Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Michael Pena (End of Watch), Christopher Walken (Seven Psychopaths), Tom Wilkinson (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
* this category remains by far the most competitive. I could list another ten actors who could all factor in to the race.

1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables (-)
2. Samantha Barks, Les Miserables (+ 1)
3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions (- 1)
4. Amy Adams, The Master (-)
5. Sally Field, Lincoln (new)
Next in line: Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel), Pauline Collins (Quartet), Jacki Weaver (The Silver Linings Playbook)

1. Moonrise Kingdom (-)
2. Django Unchained (+ 1)
3. Beasts of the Southern Wild (new)
4. Seven Psychopaths (- 2)
5. The Master (- 1)
Next in Line: Flight, Brave, Amour, The Dark Knight Rises

1. Lincoln (new)
2. Argo (-)
3. The Silver Linings Playbook (- 2)
4. Les Miserables (-)
5. The Perks of Being A Wallflower (-3)
Next in line: Zero Dark Thirty, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, The Life of Pi

1. Ben Affleck, Argo (+ 2)
2. Tom Hooper, Les Miserables (-1)
3. David O’ Russell, The Silver Linings Playbook (- 1)
4. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln (+ 1)
5. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty (new)
Next in line: Ang Lee (The Life of Pi), Peter Jackson (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey), Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight Rises), Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master), Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)

So, there you have it… my current and likely to totally change predictions… What are yours?


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