Posts Tagged ‘Academy Awards’

My Big Bold 2014 Academy Award Winner Predictions

March 1, 2014

12 chewitAs usual, I have to apologize for the lack of posts. Gratefully I have been busy working, auditioning and prepping several new projects. I’m in pre-production on the feature Like You Mean It (as a Producer) and the short Jack (as a Producer/Star) and I will be shooting an episode of one of my favorite dramatic TV shows next week. So, that’s all great. However, I know you would rather know what I think is gonna happen at Sunday’s big Oscar ceremony hosted by the hilarious Ellen Degeneres.

Well, this year has been an incredibly competitive one with lots of split winners in the Best Picture race at the precursor awards. In fact Gravity, 12 Years a Slave, and even the lackluster and overrated American Hustle could win the big race. Luckily that means we could have a lot of surprises come Sunday night. As such, there are several big races that are too close too call (Best Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Original Screenplay, Score, Editing, Documentary, Supporting Actress and even Best Actor could surprise). So, just who will and should win the Academy Awards this year after an incredibly great year for film? Check out my Big Bold Oscar Winner Predictions below.

My Big Bold 2014 Oscar Winner Predictions~

Best Picture:
12 Years A Slave, American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Gravity, Her, Philomena, Nebraska, The Wolf of Wall Street
Will & Should win: 12 Years a Slave
Spoiler: Gravity
* Seriously, either of those two could win. Thankfully, I just don’t think American Hustle can upset them.

Best Actor:
Christian Bale (American Hustle), Bruce Dern (Nebraska), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street), Chewitel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave), Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)Jared-Leto-Matthew-McConaughey-Dallas-Buyers-Club
Will & Should win: Matthew McConaughey
Spoiler: Leonardo DiCaprio

*McConaughey  has had the edge all season but Ejifor just won the BAFTA and DiCaprio is overdue and has had a big spending campaign. This one might actually go down to the wire…

Best Actress:
Amy Adams (American Hustle), Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine), Sandra Bullock (Gravity), Judi Dench (Philomena), Meryl Streep (August Osage County)

Will & Should win: Cate Blanchett

Spoiler: Amy Adams (but yeah, that’s not gonna happen)

Best Supporting Actor:
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips), Bradley Cooper (American Hustle), Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave), Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street), Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Will & Should win: Jared Leto

Spoiler: Michael Fassbender (but yeah, that’s not gonna happen)

Best Supporting Actress:
Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine), Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle), Lupita N’yongo (12 Years a Slave), Julia Roberts (August Osage County), June Squibb (Nebraska)
Will & Should win: Lupita N’yongo
Spoiler: Jennifer Lawernce
* This race is crazy close. Most pundits are now predicting Lawrence, but I think it is way too soon for her to win two lupitaOscars, let alone back to back. So, hopefully people will vote for the actual Best performance in SAG and Critics Choice Award winner N’yongo

Best Director:
Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity), Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave), David O’Russell (American Hustle), Alexander Payne (Nebraska), Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Will & Should win: Alfonso Cuaron
Spoiler: Steve McQueen

Best Adapted Screenplay:
12 Years a Slave, Before Midnight, Captain Phillips, Philomena, The Wolf of Wall Street
Will & Should win: 12 Years a Slave
Spoiler: Philomena

Best Original Screenplay:
American Hustle, Blue Jasmine, Dallas Buyers Club, Her, Nebraska
Will win: Her
Should win: Dallas Buyers Club
Spoiler: American Hustle
* This one is also a toss-up between Her and Hustle, but I think the sheer originality of Her will win the day.

Best Score:
The Book Thief, Gravity, Her, Philomena, Saving Mr. Banks
Will & Should win: Philomena
Spoiler: Gravity
* I’m going out on a limb here and think the actual best score, Philomena, will eek out a win. However, smarter money might be on Gravity.

Best Song:
“Let It Go” (Frozen), “Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom), “The Moon Song” (Her), “Happy” (Despicable Me 2)
Will & Should win: “Let It Go”
Spoiler: “Happy”
* This race has become incredibly close of late. “Ordinary Love” is by powerhouse U2, won the Golden Globe and has a frozen-let-it-go-full-scene-watch-nowhuge campaign behind it. “Happy” is the # 1 song in the country by Grammy Golden boy Pharrell Williams. However, you just can’t deny the phenomena that is Frozen and it’s amazing anthem sung by Tony winner Idina Menel.

Best Cinematography:
Gravity, The Grandmaster, Inside Llewyn Davis, Nebraska, Prisoners
Will & Should win: Gravity
Spoiler: Prisoners

Best Editing:
American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Gravity, Dallas Buyers Club, 12 Years a Slave
Will & Should win: Gravity
Spoiler: Captain Phillips
* Captain Phillips has come on very strong of late in this race and I wouldnt be surprised if it pulled this one out.

Best Production Design:
12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, Gravity, The Great Gatsby, Her
Will & Should win: The Great Gatsby
Spoiler: Gravity

Best Costume Design:
12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, The Great Gatsby, The Grandmaster, The Invisible Woman
Will & Should win: The Great Gatsby
Spoiler: American Hustle
* with 10 nominations, Hustle has its other great chance of winning in this category. However, I think Gatsby will still have the edge.

Best Makeup & Hairstyling:
Dallas Buyers Club, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, The Lone Ranger
Will & Should win: Dallas Buyers Club
Spoiler: Bad Grandpa

Best Sound Editing:
All is Lost, Captain Phillips, Gravity, Lone Survivor, The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
Will & Should win: Gravity
Spoiler: Captain Phillips

Best Sound Mixing:
Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor
Will & Should win: Gravity
Spoiler: Captain Phillipssandra-bullocks-new-movie-gravity-is-an-extreme-4-d-thrill-ride-1

Best Visual Effects:
Gravity, The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug, Iron Man 3, Lone Ranger, Star Trek Into Darkness
Will & Should win: Gravity
No spoiler

Best Animated Film:
The Croods, Despicable Me 2, Ernest and Celestine, Frozen, The Wind Rises
Will & Should win: Frozen
Spoiler: The Wind Rises

Best Documentary:
20 Feet From Stardom, The Act of Killing, Cutie and the Boxer, Dirty Wars, The Square
Will & Should win: 20 Feet From Stardom
Spoiler: The Act of Killing
* Killing is the critical favorite, but audiences and yours truly loooooved Stardom. So, this is another tight race.

Best Foreign Film:
The Broken Circle Breakdown, The Great Beauty, The Hunt, The Missing Picture, Omar
Will win: The Great Beauty
Should win: the Hunt or Broken Circle Breakdown
Spoiler: Broken Circle Breakdown
* any of those 3 I mentioned could win. Don’t bet on my choice for this one people.

And as for the shorts, that’s all up to you. I cant tell you everything. lol

So, there you go~ My Big Bold Oscar Winner Predictions. Use ’em or lose ’em, but enjoy the show on Sunday night!
J

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“Argo” Wins Best Picture at a Surprisingly Unsurprising Oscars

February 25, 2013

argoOn what was a night many said there could be several big upsets, tonight’s Academy Awards was actually rather predictable. With only Christoph Waltz beating out Tommy Lee Jones and Robert DeNiro in the Supporting Actor race, most of the other winners were pretty easy to guess. Argo took Picture, Editing and Adapted Screenplay while Daniel Day-Lewis, Jennifer Lawrence and Anne Hathaway won their respective races. Ang Lee topped Speilberg for Best Director while Quentin Tarantino won Original Screenplay for Django Unchained. One big surprise was a tie (only the 6th tie in Oscar history) for Sound Editing between Zero Dark Thirty and Skyfall… Take a look at all the winners below and watch here for more on the show, Seth MacFarlane’s decent hosting debut and the amazing performances by Jennifer Hudson and the cast of Les Miserables tomorrow.

2013 Academy Award Winners:

Best Picture: Argo
Director: Ang Lee (Life o Pi)
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
Actress: Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Editing: Argo
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Score: Life of Pi
Song: “Skyfall”- Adele (Skyfall)
Production Design: Lincoln
Makeup & Hair: Les Miserables
Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Sound Editing: TIE~ Zero Dark Thirty & Skyfall
Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
Animated Film: Brave
Foreign Film: Amour
Doc Short Subject: Innocentelesmis-dream630-jpg_220136
Animated Short: Paperman
Live Action Short: Curfew

Most Wins~
Life of Pi: 4
Argo: 3
Les Miserables: 3
Lincoln: 2
Django Unchained: 2

They’re Here~ My Big Bold 2013 Oscar WINNER Predictions

February 20, 2013

lesmis-dream630-jpg_220136It’s been one heck of a topsy-turvy Oscar season. Since September, there seemed to be a different film out in front each week with Lincoln, Les Miserables, Argo, Zero Dark Thirty and Silver Linings Playbook all looking like the film to beat. However, after all of the Guild Awards (SAG, DGA, PGA) and the Golden Globes, it has become clear that Argo is the true front-runner and likely will win Best Picture. If it does, it will be the first film to do so without a Best Director nomination since Driving Miss Daisy in 1989. And it may also be one of the only wins the film takes home. It has a shot in Screenplay, Editing and Score, but we’ll see… There are other sure things but there are 3 big races totally up in the air and we may see the awards spread over several different films… So, just who do I think will win? Take a look at my big, bold and totally unscientific Oscar predictions below and watch the big Academy Award show Sunday the 24th on ABC.

Best Picture:
Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty
Will win: Argo
Should win: Les Miserables
~ spoiler: Lincoln

Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook), Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln), Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables), Joaquin Phoenix (The Master), Denzel Washington (Flight)
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Should win: Hugh Jackman (hello, degree of difficulty people)
~ spoiler: Hugh Jackman, but let’s be honest. Daniel Day-Lewis has this in the bag.

Best Actress:
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook), Emmanuelle Riva (Amour), Quevanzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Will win: Jennifer Lawrence
Should win: Jessica Chastain
~ spoiler: Emmanuelle Riva
* This race is really becoming a toss-up. Lawrence is the smart money, but many feel Chastain deserves it more and Riva has the growing buzz and would be the oldest Best Actress winner ever…

Best Supporting Actor:
Alan Arkin (Argo), Robert DeNiro (Silver Linings Playbook), Tommy Lee Jones (Licoln), Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master), Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Will win: Robert DeNiro
Should win: Tommy Lee Jones
~ spoiler: Christoph Waltz
* this is the biggest toss-up race of all. Any of the five could win (even Arkin if there’s an Argo sweep). Weinstein company is spending tons of $ to remind voters that DeNiro hasn’t won in 32 years, so I think that may give him the edge.

Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams (The Master), Sally Field (Lincoln), Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables), Helen Hunt (The Sessions), Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)
Will & Should win: Anne Hathaway
~ spoiler: Sally Field, but let’s be honest Hathaway can not lose.

Best Director:
Michael Haeneke (Amour), Ang Lee (Life of Pi), David O’Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), Steven Spielberg (Lincoln), Benh Zeitlan (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Will win: Steven Speilberg
Should win: Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow or Tom Hooper (oops they’re not nominated!)
~ spoiler: Ang Lee
* this race is also incredibly close with Spielberg, Lee and Russell all having a strong shot…

Best Original Screenplay:
Amour, Django Unchained, Flight, Moonrise Kingdom, Zero Dark Thirty
Will win: Django Unchained
Should win: Zero Dark Thirty
~spoiler: Amour

Adapted Screenplay:
Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook
Will win: Argo
Should win: Lincoln
~ spoiler: Silver Linings Playbook

Editing:
Argo, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty
Will win: Argo
Should win: Zero Dark Thirty
~ spoiler: Zero Dark Thirty

Cinematography:
Anna Karenina, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall
Will win: Life of Pi
Should win: Skyfall
~ spoiler: Skyfall

Production Design:
Anna Karenina, The Hobbit, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln
Will & Should win: Les Miserables
~ Spoiler: Anna Karenina

Costume Design:
Anna Karenina, Les Miserables, Lincoln, Mirror Mirror, Snow White and the Huntsman
Will & Should win: Anna Karenina
~ Spoiler: Les Miserables

Makeup & Hair:
The Hobbit, Les Miserables, LincolnSkyfall_wallpaper
Will & Should win: Les Miserables
~ spoiler: The Hobbit

Original Score:
Anna Karenina, Argo, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall
Will win: Life of Pi
Should win: Skyfall
~ spoiler: Lincoln (it’s John Williams after all)

Song:
“Before My Time” (Chasing Ice), “Everybody Need’s a Friend” (Ted), “Pi’s Lullably” (Life of Pi), “Skyfall” (Skyfall), “Suddenly” (Les Miserables)
Will & Should win: “Skyfall”
~ spoiler: “Suddenly”

Sound Editing:
Argo, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty
Will & Should win: Zero Dark Thirty
~ spoiler: Skyfall

Sound Mixing:
Argo, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Skyfall
Will & Should win: Les Miserables
~ spoiler: Life o Pi

Visual Effects:
The Avengers, The Hobbit, Life of Pi, Prometheus, Snow White and the Huntsman
Will win: Life of Pi
Should win: The Hobbit
~ spoiler: The Hobbit

Animated Film:
Brave, Frankenweenie, ParaNorman, The Pirates: Band of Misfits!, Wreck it Ralph
Will win: Wreck it Ralph
Should win: ParaNorman (but, hey Wreck It Ralph was pretty damn good)
~ spoiler: Frankenweenie

Foreign Language Film:wreck-ralph-poster-trailer
Amour, Kontiki, No, A Royal Affair, War Witch
Wil win: Amour
Should win: No
~ spoiler: A Royal Affair

Documentary:
5 Broken Cameras, The Gatekeepers, How to Survive a Plague, The Invisible War, Searching for Sugar Man
Will win: Searching for Sugar Man
Should win: How to Survive a Plague
~ spoiler: The Gatekeepers

Breaking Down the 2013 Best Actress Race

February 9, 2013

jennifer_lawrence_silver_linings_playbook_a_lThis Oscar season has been one of the most exciting and unpredictable races in recent history. While it seems that Argo, Daniel Day-Lewis and Anne Hathaway now look like sure things in their respective categories, there are a few races that remain a serious horse race. The two biggest question marks are the Best Supporting Actor race where a different contender has won in each of the precursors (Tommy Lee Jones, Phillip Seymour Hoffman and Christoph Waltz) and the Best Actress Race which has been a serious catfight between Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence. Today, I will take a look at the latter race which could end up with a truly surprising winner.
When the race began in earnest last fall, the word was that Jennifer Lawrence would win hands down for her wonderful, emotionally naked work in Silver Linings Playbook. However, that was before the very secretive Zero Dark Thirty finally began screening and Jessica Chastain’s fierce, intelligent and controlled performance wowed critics and audiences. Both women have won a number of pre-cursors that have put them squarely in a duel for the Oscar win. Among the biggest wins, Lawrence took home the Golden Globe (Musical/Comedy), Critic’s Choice (Actress in a Comedy Film) and the all-important SAG Award while Chastain grabbed a Golden Globe (Drama) and the overall Critic’s Choice Award for Best Actress.
They are both up for the BAFTA Award this evening as well. I’d say Chastain has the edge there as her film received more nominations from the British Academy and they tend to honor more “important” films and performances. For example, last year Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady) took home the Best Actress BAFTA over Viola Davis (The Help) after Davis had just won the SAG Award… I could see the same turnover happen here for Chastain. If that happens, then Chastain could follow Streep’s path to an Oscar victory.
Both Chastain and Lawrence have several factors working in their favor. Both women are attractive young actresses with a “babe factor”zerodarkthirty-clip-jumbo-jpg_165549 that the Academy loves, reaching a peak in their careers which has helped actresses like Halle Berry, Reese Witherspoon, Gwyneth Paltrow and Nicole Kidman to take home the big prize in the past. Both are also previous nominees. Chastain was nominated last year for Supporting Actress for The Help while Lawrence was nominated for Best Actress two years ago for Winter’s Bone. Plus, both have worked the awards circuit like a pro this season.
Where they differ is in their “industry status”. While Lawrence is now a bona-fide box office star with The Hunger Games franchise, Chastain is seen as the more serious actress with a bigger body of lauded work. She could’ve received Oscar noms for practically all of her seven films released in 2011 and Chastain is also building box office clout with hits ZD30, The Help and Mama. It just seems like it may be too “early” in Lawrence’s career to give her Hollywood’s highest honor while Chastain seems to have “earned” it more. So, with all of that said, I’m going out on a limb and giving the edge to Chastain for the win.
However there remains one big obstacle in their way. They both will have to fend off another critical favorite, French icon Emmanuelle amour-poster2Riva for her harrowing and physically demanding work as a woman suffering from Dementia at the end of her life in Amour. This performance could be the real key to this Oscar race. Riva could easily usurp both of them at the BAFTAs and set the stage for a crazy three-way fight on Oscar night.
As for the final two nominees, Quevanzhane Wallis should be thrilled she got a nomination in the first place for her debut performance in Beasts of the Southern Wild over more deserving heavy weights like Marion Cotillard (Rust & Bone) and Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), and while she was amazing in The Impossible, and I’d love to see her win, Naomi Watts will probably be an also ran. (No worries though Naomi, you should be back in the race next year for playing Princess Diana!)
To sum up, it’s a serious race this year. Lawrence and Chastain are in the best position to win with Riva as a potential spoiler. And if there is crazy vote splitting, maybe Watts can sneak in. Yet, I’m still betting on Chastain. See if I’m right Sunday night February 24th when the Oscars air on ABC.

My Still Ridiculously Early November 2012 Oscar Nomination Predictions

November 1, 2012

It’s November and the Awards season is in full swing. I have a seen a bunch of the big contenders this year and many of them are living up to their promise (Argo, Lincoln). However, some are on shaky ground (can we talk about the atrocious mess that is The Master? It’s a very divisive film, but I think it’s in big trouble. At least the performances are still good bets for nods.) So, just how does this shake up my take on who will and won’t get nominated this year? Take a look at my new list below and compare it to my October predix here…. And tune in next month for another updated list.

My Ridiculously Early 2012 November Oscar Nomination Predictions~

(Note, they are listed in order of most likely to be nominated, and I’ve noted where they have climbed, fallen and debuted on the list.)

BEST PICTURE:
1. Argo (+ 2)
2. Les Miserables (-1)
3. Lincoln (+ 1)
4. The Silver Linings Playbook (-2)
5. Zero Dark Thirty (-)
6. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (-)
7. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (+1)
8. The Impossible (new)
9. The Life of Pi (new)
10. The Perks of Being a Wallflower (-1)
Next in line: Django Unchained, The Master, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Flight

BEST ACTOR:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (+1)
2. John Hawkes, The Sessions (-1)
3. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables (-)
4. Denzel Washington (new)
5. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master (-) * he is on real shaky ground as he publicly derides the Awards season and is generally a jerk.
Next in line: Richard Gere (Arbitrage), Bradley Cooper (The Silver Linings Playbook), Tommy Lee Jones (Hope Springs), Anthony Hopkins (Hitchcock)

BEST ACTRESS:
1. Jennifer Lawrence, The Silver Linings Playbook (-)
2. Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone (+ 1)
3. Naomi Watts, The Impossible (- 1)
4. Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina (+ 1)
5. Quevanzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild (- 1)
Next in line: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), Meryl Streep (Hope Springs), Emmanuel Riva (Amour)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln (new)
2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master (- 1)
3. Russell Crowe, Les Miserables (-1)
4. Ewan MacGregor, The Impossible (+ 1)
5. Robert DeNiro, The Silver Linings Playbook (- 1)
Next in Line: Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained), Alan Arkin (Argo), Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables), Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Michael Pena (End of Watch), Christopher Walken (Seven Psychopaths), Tom Wilkinson (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
* this category remains by far the most competitive. I could list another ten actors who could all factor in to the race.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables (-)
2. Samantha Barks, Les Miserables (+ 1)
3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions (- 1)
4. Amy Adams, The Master (-)
5. Sally Field, Lincoln (new)
Next in line: Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel), Pauline Collins (Quartet), Jacki Weaver (The Silver Linings Playbook)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1. Moonrise Kingdom (-)
2. Django Unchained (+ 1)
3. Beasts of the Southern Wild (new)
4. Seven Psychopaths (- 2)
5. The Master (- 1)
Next in Line: Flight, Brave, Amour, The Dark Knight Rises

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1. Lincoln (new)
2. Argo (-)
3. The Silver Linings Playbook (- 2)
4. Les Miserables (-)
5. The Perks of Being A Wallflower (-3)
Next in line: Zero Dark Thirty, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, The Life of Pi

BEST DIRECTOR:
1. Ben Affleck, Argo (+ 2)
2. Tom Hooper, Les Miserables (-1)
3. David O’ Russell, The Silver Linings Playbook (- 1)
4. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln (+ 1)
5. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty (new)
Next in line: Ang Lee (The Life of Pi), Peter Jackson (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey), Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight Rises), Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master), Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)

So, there you have it… my current and likely to totally change predictions… What are yours?

“The Impossible” Could Pull Off the Improbable at the Oscars

October 25, 2012

So far this Oscar season, most of the talk has been about a number of big films that fit the Awards season bill in practically every way: Argo, Lincoln, Les Miserables and The Silver Linings Playbook. There are also several smaller films that are making some big noise like The Sessions, Beasts of the Southern Wild and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel. While all of those pictures will likely score some several nominations, one film be a strong dark horse and land a host of nominations, the tsunami disaster picture and ultimate story of improbable survival, The Impossible. The film, directed by Juan Antonio Bayona,  is incredibly harrowing and gut wrenching but it’s also inspiring, beautiful and fantastic. The Impossible follows the true story of one family that is caught up in the devastating Indonesian tsunami in 2004 that took the lives of over 100,000 people. Naomi Watts and Ewan MacGregor star as the parents of three sons who struggle to survive after the tsunami hits. Watts and MacGregor both give incredible performances that should put them at the forefront of the Best Actress and Supporting Actor races, but we might see newcomer Tom Holland in the Supporting Actor race as well. Playing their oldest son, Holland is simply astonishing and should have a very bright future in Hollywood. The film should contend in many different categories and won’t leave a dry eye in the house. I highly recommend it and I gave it an “A” grade. Check it out when it hits theaters in December and take a look at what Oscars I think the film should contend for and the trailer below. It could end up being a big spoiler in this year’s race.

Oscar chances for The Impossible~

Likely Noms:
Best Picture
Best Actress (Naomi Watts)
Best Supporting Actor (Ewan MacGregor)
Best Visual Effects

Good Shot:
Best Director (Juan Antonio Bayona)
Best Cinematography
Best Original Score
Best Sound

Other Possible Nods:
Best Supporting Actor (Tom Holland)
Best Editing
Best Production Design

The Impossible trailer

They’re Here~ My Big Bold Oscar Nomination Predictions

January 20, 2012

They’re finally here~ the predictions you really care about, my big bold Academy Award nomination predictions. On Tuesday morning Jan. 24th, Oscar nominee Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone) will help announce this year’s contenders and as you all might guess, we should be hearing a lot from The Artist. We will also hear Hugo, The Descendants and The Help landing multiple nods, plus watch for Meryl Streep to grab that record-breaking (of her own record mind you) 17th nomination for The Iron Lady. However, there could be some surprises… I’m expecting The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo to show some big muscle (much like last year’s last-minute contender True Grit) and grab notice in the big categories like Picture, Director (David Fincher) and Actress (Rooney Mara)… So, just who and what will be in the race? Take a look at my predictions below and head back here on Tuesday for the official nominees.

My Big Bold 2012 Oscar Nomination Predictions~

Picture:
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
War Horse
~spoilers: Drive, The Tree of Life, Moneyball, Bridesmaids
* Due to new balloting rules where any picture to land a Best Picture nod, they must get at least 250 first place votes and some crazy math, we don’t actually know how many films will land in the big race. It’s anywhere from a minimum of 5 to a max of 10.

Director:
David Fincher (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Michael Hazanvicius (The Artist)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Martin Scorcesse (Hugo)
Steven Spielberg (War Horse)
~spoilers: Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris), Tate Taylor (The Help), Nicholas Winding-Refn (Drive)

Actor:
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Michael Fassbender (Shame)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
~spoilers: Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy), Damian Bichir (A Better Life), Woody Harrelson (Rampart), Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50) …. I feel like Ryan Gosling is totally gonna cancel himself out with Drive and The Ides of March unfortunately.

Actress:
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Viola Davis (The Help)
Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
~spoilers: Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin), Charlize Theron (Young Adult), Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)

Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Albert Brooks (Drive)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Nick Nolte (Warrior)
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
~spoilers: Patton Oswalt (Young Adult), Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes), Alan Rickman (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2), Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)

Supporting Actress:

Berenice Bejo (The Artist)

Jessica Chastain (The Help)

Mellissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
~spoilers: Shailene Woodley (The Descendants), Judi Dench (My Week with Marilyn), Carey Mulligan (Shame)

Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, The Help, The Ides of March, Moneyball
~spoilers: Hugo, My Week with Marilyn, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close, War Horse

Original Screenplay:
50/50, The Artist, Bridesmaids, Midnight in Paris, Young Adult
~spoilers: Beginners, A Separation, Win Win

Cinematography:
The Artist, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Hugo, The Tree of Life, War Horse
~spoilers: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Drive

Editing::
The Artist, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Hugo, War Horse
~spoilers: Drive, The Help, The Tree of Life, Super 8

Score:
The Artist, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, The Help, Hugo, War Horse
~spoilers: Hanna, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, My Week with Marilyn, W.E.
*Drive was declared ineligible (because of previously used music unfortunately)

Song:
“Bridge of Light” (Happy Feet 2)
“Hello Hello” (Gnomeo & Juliet)
“Life’s a Happy Song” (The Muppets)
“The Living Proof” (The Help)
“Man or a Muppet” (The Muppets)
~spoilers: “Pictures in My Head” (The Muppets), “Lay Your Head Down” (Albert Nobbs), “Star Spangled Man” (Captain America~ The First Avenger)
*Madonna’s Golden Globe winning song “Masterpiece” from W.E. was declared ineligible because it airs too late in the closing credits of the film which falls outside the rules of the category

Costume Design:
The Artist, The Help, Hugo, Jane Eyre, W.E.
~spoilers: War Horse, Albert Nobbs, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Anonymous

Art Direction:
The Artist, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Hugo, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, War Horse
~spoilers: The Help, W.E., Jane Eyre

Animated Film:
The Adventures of Tin Tin, Cars 2, Happy Feet 2, Kung Fu Panda 2, Rango
~spoiler: Rio

Makeup:
Albert Nobbs, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, The Iron Lady
~spoilers: Hugo, The Artist

Sound:
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Hugo, Super 8, War Horse
~spoilers: Drive, Rise of the Planet of the Apes, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Visual Effects:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Hugo, Rise of the Planet of the Apes
~spoilers: Super 8, Thor

Rankin’ the Oscar winners (2000-2009)

March 8, 2010

Since I still have Oscar fever, I thought I’d rank the Oscar winners from the past decade… here we go!

Picture:
1. Chicago (2002)
2. Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2003)
3. The Hurt Locker (2009)
4. Slumdog Millionaire (2008)
5. The Departed (2006)
6. Gladiator (2000)
7. No Country for Old Men (2007)
8. Million Dollar Baby (2004)
9. Crash (2005)
10. A Beautiful Mind (2001)

Director:
1. Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain (2005)
2. Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: ROTK (2003)
3. Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker (2009)
4. Steven Sodeburgh, Traffic (2000)
5. Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire (2008)
6. Roman Polanski, The Pianist (2002)
7. Martin Scorcesse, The Departed (2006)
8. The Coens, No Country for Old Men (2007)
9. Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby (2004)
10. Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind (2001)

Actor:
1. Sean Penn, Milk (2008)
2. Adrien Brody, The Pianist (2002)
3. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Capote (2005)
4. Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland (2006)
5. Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart (2009)
6. Jamie Foxx, Ray (2004)
7. Denzel Washington, Training Day (2001)
8. Sean Penn, Mystic River (2003)
9. Russell Crow, Gladiator (2000)
10. Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood (2007)

Actress:
1. Marion Cottillard, La Vie en Rose (2007)
2. Charlize Theron, Monster (2003)
3. Kate Winslet, The Reader (2008)
4. Helen Mirren, The Queen (2006)
5. Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich (2000)
6. Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball (2001)
7. Nicole Kidman, The Hours (2002)
8. Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
9. Sandra Bullock, The Blindside (2009)
10. Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line (2005)

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight (2008)
2. Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men (2007)
3. Christoph Waltz, Inglorious Basterds (2009)
4. Benecio Del Toro, Traffic (2000)
5. Jim Broadbent, Iris (2001)
6. Chris Cooper, Adaptation (2002)
7. Tim Robbins, Mystic River (2003)
8. Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby (2004)
9. George Clooney, Syriana (2005)
10. Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine (2006)

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Catherine Zeta-James, Chicago (2002)
2. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls (2006)
3. Mo’Nique, Precious (2009)
4. Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
5. Cate Blanchett, The Aviator (2004)
6. Marcia Gay Harden, Pollack (2000)
7. Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona (2008)
8. Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain (2003)
9. Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton (2007)
10. Jennifer Connely, A Beautiful Mind (2001)

Oscars: the Good, the Bad and the Huh?

March 8, 2010

Here’s my quick take on last night’s 82nd Annual Academy Awards… I’m gonna break it down into 3 categories for ya: the Good, the Bad and the Huh… here we go…

The GOOD:

“The Hurt Locker” wins:  the actual Best Picture wins!!! And a huge contrats to Kathryn Bigelow as the first female Best Director winner who deserved to win regardless of her gender by the way.

The “Precious” wins: of course Mo’Nique won, but hello, the shocker of the night was the adapted screenplay for “Precious”. Well done!

Sandra Bullock’s speech: what a gracious, hilarious, wonderful and classy lady! No wonder everyone loves her in Hollywood.

Neil Patrick Harris’s opening number: this man can do it all. Hell, he coulda just stayed and been the host as he proved so winningly at the Emmys and the Tonys last year. He was Legen… wait for it… dary!

Alec and Steve: what a great and hilarious hosting team. Loved their opening, the introductions of each other, the “Paranormal Activity” spoof, etc. Two host work best when they respect each other and play off each other so well.

The “Up” and Christoph Waltz wins!

The John Hughes Tribute!

The Dance/original score section: I’m sure I’m in the minority, but I loved it. It might’ve been a tad too long, but I loved seein’ my So You Think You Can Dance stars up on the Oscar stage.

Demi Moore: Um, damn she looked hot! And was totally best dressed too!

The BAD:

Sandra Bullock’s win: as much as I love her and she was very good in “The Blindside”, she didnt deserve to win. I’d actually rank her last in that category, and hello, Meryl Streep was ROBBED!

The Horror tribute: Talk about a waste of time and what’s up with the inclusion of non-horror movies like “Beetlejuice” and the incredibly lame “Twilight”?

The fashion: if it wasn’t one disappointing dress after another, it was just a plain disaster. Witness~ Miley Cyrus, Zoe Saldana, Vera Farmiga, Suzy Amis (ie: Skelator), Carrie Mulligan)

“Avatar”‘s win for cinematography: Um, I usually think camerawork that films actually people and places is a little more award-worthy… and for further proof, look at the work of the other noms “The Hurt Locker”, “Inglorious Basterds” and “The White Ribbon” which all should’ve beaten it.

Kathy Ireland on the pre show: um, WHAT WAS THAT? Why was she there? Why was she standing like that? What was up with her hair? … nice triceps though.

Clooney’s hair: sorry but he was not lookin’ fine last night… has to be for a role, right?

Macauley Culkin’s hair, Anthony Michael Hall’s face and Judd Nelson’s everything: while it was nice to see them in the tribute, they were lookin’ rough!

The directing and editing of the show: can you say messy!

The abrupt best pic award: yes, the show was long, but one last reminder of the nominees would’ve been nice Tom!

The HUH:

Jeff Bridges mumbling, rambling, lip smackin’ speech… it’s kinda yucky when he talks…

That Kanye West moment: what was up with that producer stealing the spotlight from the director of the Best Doc Short subject winner… weird. It felt like Joy Behar and Tyler Perry were doing a sketch!

Sam Worthington’s attitude: um, do really hot Austrailians not have a funny bone? Lighten up Sam. You’re the biggest new star in Hollywood. Hello, Jackman and Kidman do funny…

And there ya have it. Overall it was a pretty good show. I’m pleased by and large. What about you? Lemme know below.

My Daring (Call me Crazy) Oscar Winner Predictions…

March 5, 2010
Hello Awards luvahs,
 
It’s finally that time of year, yes, I’m talkin’ the Academy Awards. You’ve suffered through my Golden Globe, Emmy, Grammy and SAG predictions but now you get the ones you really want: my daring and totally correct, ok, maybe somewhat correct Oscar predictions! This year the Oscars are changing it up a bit with 10 Best Picture contenders too, so some more popular films made the cut regardless of whether they merited the nod or not…. That said, it’s time for your Oscar betting pools and then the big show this Sunday with hosts Alec Baldwin and Steve Martin on ABC. So, let’s just get on with this show. Here are my 2010 Oscar predictions!…
Jason
 
 
BEST PICTURE:
Avatar, An Education, The Blindside, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, Precious, A Serious Man, Up, Up in the Air
Will & Should win: The Hurt Locker
~spoiler: Inglorious Basterds, Avatar 
*if Avatar wins (which it could), I will vomit, slap whoever is sitting closest to me and jump out a window! … this is a tight 3 way race and with the new weighted voting system (the voters rank the top 10 films), whoever has the most points, not necessarily # 1 votes, will win…
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker), James Cameron (Avatar), Lee Daniels (Precious), Jason Reitman (Up in the Air), Quentin Tarantino (Inglorious Basterds)
Will & Should win: Kathryn Bigelow
~spoiler: James Cameron (the biggest arrogant douchebag on earth!)
 
BEST ACTOR:
Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart), George Clooney (Up in the Air), Colin Firth (A Single Man), Morgan Freeman (Invictus), Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
Will win: Jeff Bridges
Should win: Colin Firth
 
BEST ACTRESS:
Sandra Bullock (The Blindside), Helen Mirren (The Last Station), Carey Mulligan (An Education), Gabourey Sidibe (Precious), Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)
Will & Should win: Meryl Streep
~spoiler: Sandra Bullock
*now, if you want to go for a safe bet, pick Bullock for your pools. However, I’m gambling on the woman who should and deserves to win, Streep. Meryl hasn’t won in 28 years since “Sophie’s Choice” for goodness sakes and she easily gave the best perf of the contenders. It will be very close between her, Sandra and even another possible spoiler Carey Mulligan.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Matt Damon (Invictus), Woody Harrelson (The Messenger), Christopher Plummer (The Last Station), Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones), Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)
Will & Should win: Christoph Waltz
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Penelope Cruz (Nine), Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air), Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart), Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air), Mo’Nique (Precious)
Will & Should win: Mo’Nique
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
A Serious Man, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, The Messenger, Up
Will & Should win: The Hurt Locker
~spoiler: Inglorious Basterds
* this is a really close race and could go either way. Do people want to reward Quetin’s “Basterds” or go with the momentum of “Hurt Locker”. I think “Locker” will eeck out the win here.
 
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
An Education, District 9, In the Loop, Precious, Up in the Air
Will win: Up in the Air
Should win: Precious
 
BEST ANIMATED FILM:
Coraline, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Princess and the Frog, The Secret of Kells, Up
Will & Should win: Up
 
BEST ORIGNAL SCORE:
Avatar, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Hurt Locker, Sherlock Holmes, Up
Will & Should win: Up
 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
“Almost There” (The Princess and the Frog), “Down in New Orleans” (The Princess and the Frog), “Loin de Paname”  (Paris 36), “Take it All” (Nine), “The Weary Kind” (Crazy Heart)
Will win: “The Weary Kind” (Crazy Heart)
Should win: “Take It All” (Nine)
 
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Avatar, Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, The White Ribbon:
Will win: Avatar
Should win: The Hurt Locker
~spoiler: The White Ribbon
* This is one of the categories to watch with 3 strong contenders that could split votes… the only sure thing is that Harry Potter isn’t winning… (but don’t get me wrong, I love Harry Potter!)
 
BEST FILM EDITING:
Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, Precious
Will & Should win: The Hurt Locker
~spoiler: Avatar
 
BEST ART DIRECTION:
Avatar, The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus, Nine, Sherlock Holmes, The Young Victoria
Will win: Avatar
Should win: Nine
 
BEST MAKEUP:
Il Divo, Star Trek, The Young Victoria
Will & Should win: Star Trek
 
BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Bright Star, Coco Before Chanel, The Imainarium of Doctor Parnasus, Nine, The Young Victoria
Will & Should win: The Young Victoria
 
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Avatar, District 9, Star Trek
Will & Should win: Avatar
 
BEST SOUND EDITING:
Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, Star Trek, Up
Will win: Avatar
Should win: The Hurt Locker
* Another tight battle between the blue monkeys and the bomb experts, could go either way
 
BEST SOUND MIXING:
Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, Star Trek, Transformers: the Revenge of the Fallen
Will & Should win: Avatar
~spoiler: The Hurt Locker
* same note as the previous category
 
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Ajami, El Secreto de Sus Ojos, The Milk of Sorrow, Un Prophete, The White Ribbon
Will win: The White Ribbon
Should win: not sure which should win cuz I havent seen them! (yes, I admit it, I didn’t see every single Oscar nominated film. What? Like you saw even half of them…)
~spoilers: Un Prophete, El Secreto de Sus Ojos
* This one is a 3 way race and will be very close…
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY:
Burma VJ, The Cove, Food Inc, The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg & the Pentagon Papers, Which Way Home
Will & Should win: The Cove
 
~if you want the tie-breaker categories of live action, documentary and animated short films, email me directly.
 
So there you have it… my ultimate Oscar predictions… Am I crazy? Do you agree? Will “Hurt Locker” sweep or will the most overrated and over praised movie in history “Avatar” stomp on the competition? Could those “Inglorious Baterds” pull off a huge upset? We shall see… and tune in on Sunday at 5pm pacific time on ABC for the big show!
 
Your overly obsessed Oscar lover,
Jason Boegh
 
 
~If you’re wondering, here is my ranking of the Best Pic nominees…
 
1. The Hurt Locker
2. Up
3. Precious
4. District 9
5. Inglorious Basterds
6. An Education
7. Up in the Air
8. The Blindside
9. Avatar
10. A Serious Man